Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2235 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 2235 · DFW → DEN

departs 5:49 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2235 · DFW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?