AA 2244 · DFW → BNA

departs 3:25 PM CT · arrives 5:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2244 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?