tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2253 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2253 · SFO → ORD

departs 5:27 PM PT · arrives 11:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±5 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.