Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2295 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2295 · ORD → DEN

departs 9:02 PM CT · arrives 10:41 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±7 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at ORD that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2295 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?