AA 2322 · DFW → TPA

departs 3:02 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.77 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2322 · DFW → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?