Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2371 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2371 · DFW → LAS

departs 9:10 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±7 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

LAS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2371 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?