AA 2530 · DFW → LAS

departs 7:16 PM CT · arrives 8:20 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2530 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?