AA 2570 · SLC → ORD

departs 5:28 PM MT · arrives 9:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip1.03 in

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2570 · SLC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?