Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2708 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

AA 2708 · ORD → IAH

departs 5:22 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2708 · ORD → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?