Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 509
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
AA 509 · PHL → TPA
departs 3:47 PM ET · arrives 6:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
48%
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15–30 min late
10%
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30 min–1 hour late
18%
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1–2 hours late
6%
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Over 2 hours late
6%
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Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.