tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 511 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 511 · DFW → YYC

departs 6:48 PM CT · arrives 10:38 PM MDT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYC?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    23%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.