AA 582 · DFW → LBB

departs 9:12 PM CT · arrives 10:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LBB?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

LBB (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 582 · DFW → LBB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LBB?