Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 624 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 624 · DFW → LAS

departs 10:37 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±8 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 624 · DFW → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?