AA 669 · ORD → RSW

departs 2:54 PM CT · arrives 7:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 669 · ORD → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?