Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 972 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 972 · DFW → AUS

departs 9:35 PM CT · arrives 10:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 972 · DFW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?