Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 980 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 980 · PHX → BUR

departs 4:43 PM MT · arrives 5:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±6 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ 4pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip1.78 in

BUR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 980 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?