AF 97 · MCO → CDG

departs 12:07 AM ET · arrives 1:45 PM CET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ 12am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CDG

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

CDG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 97 · MCO → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?