B6 8778 · XNA → COU

took off 12:38 AM CT · landed 1:32 AM CT (scheduled 12:12 AM CT → 1:21 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to COU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at COU that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into COU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

COU (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling833 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 8778 · XNA → COU

Odds over time

How late did it get to COU?