Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1049
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1049 · LAX → DEN
departs 8:28 PM PT · arrives 11:44 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 33%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.26 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.