Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1051
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1051 · ATL → PNS
departs 9:36 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.