Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1104
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1104 · ATL → DAL
departs 9:15 PM ET · arrives 10:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 32%
Thu 11/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DAL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.