Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1109
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1109 · ABQ → ATL
departs 4:36 PM MT · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 10%
Tue 11/3 8%
Wed 11/4 10%
Thu 11/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.35 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.