Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1123 · DTW → MCO
departs 6:11 PM ET · arrives 8:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.