Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1202 · SLC → SAN
departs 10:55 PM MT · arrives 11:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 24%
Tue 11/3 17%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±7 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
10pm departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 1.04 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.