Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1245
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1245 · IND → ATL
departs 6:24 PM ET · arrives 8:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 13%
Thu 11/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,067 ft forecast at ATL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.