Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1287
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1287 · LAX → IAH
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 30%
Fri 11/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±7 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at IAH that day
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.26 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.