Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1355
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1355 · DTW → TPA
departs 7:24 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.