Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1370
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1370 · MCO → RDU
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.