Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1457
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1457 · ATL → TPA
departs 6:22 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 17%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
6pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.