Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1531 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 1531 · ATL → ABQ

departs 8:47 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±2 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↑ 8pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts37 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1531 · ATL → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?