Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1569 · ATL → TLH
departs 9:43 PM ET · arrives 10:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 16%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 18%
Fri 11/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TLH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TLH?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TLH that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
TLH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TLH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.