Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1577 · ATL → MEM
departs 9:49 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 24%
Thu 11/5 28%
Fri 11/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MEM (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.