Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1582 · SLC → SMF
departs 11:04 PM MT · arrives 11:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 13%
Wed 11/4 12%
Thu 11/5 21%
Fri 11/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±11 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SMF at that hour are often late
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 1.04 in
SMF (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.