Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1594 · TPA → ATL
departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 9:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.77 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.