Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1617
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1617 · ATL → GSO
departs 8:53 PM ET · arrives 10:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at GSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
GSO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.