Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1679
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1679 · TPA → CVG
departs 6:25 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 16%
Thu 11/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
6pm departures from TPA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.84 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.