Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1689 · DTW → SYR
departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 10:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 19%
Thu 11/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SYR
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SYR (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.