Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1723
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1723 · SLC → MSO
departs 10:55 PM MT · arrives 12:28 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 17%
Tue 11/3 12%
Wed 11/4 11%
Thu 11/5 19%
Fri 11/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±8 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
10pm departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 1.04 in
MSO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.