Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1806 · MCO → BOS
departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 21%
Thu 11/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.