Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1890
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 1890 · MCO → ATL
departs 6:41 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 16%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
20%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.