Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1895
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1895 · LAX → SFO
departs 8:01 PM PT · arrives 9:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±11 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.