Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2082
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2082 · MEM → LAX
departs 6:38 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 27%
Thu 11/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MEM are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MEM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 267 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.80 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 2,400 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.