Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2108
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2108 · SEA → ORD
departs 5:40 PM PT · arrives 11:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 31%
Thu 11/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.