Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2144
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2144 · ATL → MSN
departs 9:32 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 15%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MSN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSN?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MSN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.