Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2166
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2166 · LAX → BOS
departs 3:20 PM PT · arrives 11:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
BOS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.40 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.