Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2168
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2168 · EYW → ATL
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 8:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 13%
Thu 11/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at EYW that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
6pm departures from EYW are usually not late
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.44 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.