Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2176 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1

DL 2176 · DEN → LAX

departs 7:22 PM MT · arrives 8:48 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±14 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2176 · DEN → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?