Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2190 · JFK → ATL
departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.