Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 2202 · LAS → LAX
departs 8:22 PM PT · arrives 9:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±8 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.