Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2220
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
DL 2220 · GNV → ATL
departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 13%
Wed 11/4 14%
Thu 11/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GNV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at GNV that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
GNV usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GNV (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.33 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.